NFL Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings - The Blueprint

Oct 31st 2024Underdog Fantasy

What's going on fellow readers??? I'm surprised anyone knows how to read still, but I'm thankful for all the people who reached out about The Blueprint over the last couple weeks. I took them off to welcome in Baby Kelly (aka Dontayvion Winks) and now plan on slowly ramping up work over the next month. I won't write as many notes as previously and may focus on the positions I'm podcasting about that week. I think that'll be WR Rankings first. Thanks for your patience!

Week 8 Fantasy Football Recap Notes

Week 9 RB Rankings

  1. Alvin Kamara - 104.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Kendre Miller and Jamaal Williams are out. How does he not go off with Derek Carr here?

  2. Kyren Williams - 110.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  3. Saquon Barkley - 107.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  4. Derrick Henry - 97.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  5. Joe Mixon - 109.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  6. Bijan Robinson - 101.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  7. De'Von Achane - 86.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • The receiving usage is insane, and I like it a lot against 2-high defense this week.

  8. Breece Hall - 104.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  9. Kenneth Walker - 93.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  10. Aaron Jones - 100.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Ty Chandler has been larger erased from the offense.

  11. Jonathan Taylor - 87.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  12. Chase Brown - 91.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Zack Moss is out. Perhaps weeks. Brown's role has been increasing to the point they somewhat trust him in all situations.

  13. James Conner - 90.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Cardinals offense is heating up, and Conner owns almost all of the backfield.

  14. Jahmyr Gibbs - 88.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  15. Kareem Hunt - 77.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  16. James Cook - 84.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  17. Josh Jacobs (Questionable) - 79.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • He went DNP-limited-limited with an ankle injury, but Jordan Love should be playing.

  18. D'Andre Swift - 86.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  19. J.K. Dobbins - 92.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  20. David Montgomery - 66.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  21. Austin Ekeler

  22. Tyrone Tracy - 78.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • He's earned the 1a role with his explosive plays.

  23. Chuba Hubbard - 86.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  24. Tony Pollard (Questionable) - 71.5 rushing yards in Pick'em.

    • Tyjae Spears (hamstring) is out, but Pollard hasn't practiced this entire week either. There isn't a comfortable floor here. His ceiling is 80% of the Titans' backfield.

  25. Rico Dowdle - 60.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Ezekiel Elliott (suspension) is out, leaving Dowdle with Dalvin Cook as the lead backs in a high-scoring game. Is this the time??? ("The time: 12-50-0, 2-8-0).

  26. Rhamondre Stevenson

  27. Rachaad White

  28. Nick Chubb - 59.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  29. Alexander Mattison - 73.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • His ineffectiveness has me projecting some more Zamir White involvement at some point. Maybe even this week.

  30. Bucky Irving - 66.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • He missed practice on Thursday and Friday (toe).

  31. Javonte Williams - 58.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  32. Raheem Mostert - 40.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  33. Travis Etienne (Questionable)

  34. Tank Bigsby (Questionable)

    • Bigsby was limited all week (ankle). Travis Etienne (limited x3) is questionable again, but he's yet to practice in full.

  35. Devin Singletary

  36. Tyler Allgeier

  37. Zach Charbonnet

  38. Justice Hill

  39. Ray Davis

Week 9 WR Rankings

  1. CeeDee Lamb - 85.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Cowboys are tied for 8th in projected points this week, and they have nobody else to get the ball to. He's coming off season-high usage out of the bye. Is it 1.01 ROS SZN?

  2. Justin Jefferson - 85.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Vikings are 7th in projected points.

    • Sam Darnold's most pass attempts in a game sits at 31 right now. That's unbelievably low and likely to go up down the stretch when the Vikings aren't quite efficient and when the defense isn't quite as good. Huge target games are coming eventually.

  3. Ja'Marr Chase - 82.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Bengals are tied for 4th in projected points.

    • He had a season-high in usage (16.9 expected half PPR points) in a game without Tee Higgins last week. Chase trades some efficiency for more targets in games without his counterpart. He's an elite WR1 either way. Higgins didn't practice on Wednesday (quad).

  4. A.J. Brown - 77.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Eagles are 6th in projected points. Dallas Goedert (hamstring) remains out.

    • This is an eruption spot against the man-coverage Jaguars. Against press man coverage, nobody has been better this season.

  5. Malik Nabers - 68.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • His last 5 healthy games: 16.3 half PPR points on 19.9 expected half PPR points. It was a bummer that Nabers couldn't get another foot in the end zone on Monday Night Football.

  6. Tyreek Hill - 78.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • In games with Tua this year: 16.9, 8.6, and 15.0 expected half PPR points.

  7. Chris Olave - 67.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Saints are tied for 8th in projected points this week, and the skill group is depleted. Rashid Shaheed (IR), Bub Means, Kendre Miller, and Juwan Johnson are dealing with injuries, and Derek Carr is set to return. Last week with Spencer Rattler and these injuries, Olave set a season-high in expected half PPR points (24.1). He's a major positive regression candidate in general. This is your time, Olave truthers.

    • This is a smash spot against the Panthers, too.

  8. Drake London - 66.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Falcons are tied for 2nd in projected points against a Cowboys defense that's hurt and playing lifeless. CBs Daron Bland (foot) and Trevon Diggs (calf) were DNPs on Wednesday.

    • London is the WR5 on WR8 usage this month, despite last week's dud. That can mostly be explained by 3 long scores to his teammates.

  9. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 76.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Lions are 8th in projected points, and Jameson Williams is suspended for one more game.

    • Detroit is 28th in WR usage this month, however, sending St. Brown's usage down to WR45 right now. His strong efficiency and spike week ability keeps him in the WR1 mix.

  10. Cooper Kupp - 58.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Rams are tied for 8th in projected points this week, and Seahawks CB Devon Witherspoon (foot) missed Wednesday's practice.

    • He's had 25.0 and 13.6 expected half PPR in his two healthy games, though the former was without Puka Nacua who is just better than Kupp at this point. I thought Kupp was just fine on tape and should get slightly better another 10 days removed from his high-ankle sprain.

  11. Garrett Wilson - 60.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He has a 30% first-read target share since the Davante Adams trade, enough to hold out hope for fringe WR1 value.

  12. Terry McLaurin - 64.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's the WR6 on WR12 usage this month.

  13. Puka Nacua - 69.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He didn't practice on Friday after leaving Thursday's practice with a set back to his knee.

    • Rams are tied for 8th in projected points this week.

  14. Josh Downs - 57.5 receiving yards in Pick'em

    • His expected half PPR points in 3 games with Joe Flacco: 13.6, 16.5, and 15.2. Thatt equates to WR1 usage if that trend continues. He's, by far, the best Colts receiver right now.

    • The Vikings have allowed the most fantasy points to WRs this year, particularly getting shredde by slot WRs like Downs.

  15. Tank Dell - 59.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • I'm expecting more 2-TE sets to help the pass protection and a healthy staple of deep play action shots, simply because it plays best with their available personnel sans Nico Collins (back in Week 10) and Stefon Diggs (IR). Thus far, Dell hasn't been used that way, possibly because he's not as fast as he was before his broken leg.

  16. DeVonta Smith - 57.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The volume is simply not there with the Eagles rushing the ball in neutral situations at the highest rate, but Smith is also so good that he can still get home on average. This month, he's the WR24 on WR77 usage, making him one of the most boom-bust fantasy assets.

    • It's an eruption spot vs. the Jaguars.

  17. Davante Adams - 56.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's done very little with his WR19 usage as a Jet. Is that a small sample or a sign that the 32-year-old isn't the same player? His 22% first-read target share is that of a WR2 or WR3 in fantasy.

  18. Calvin Ridley

    • Without DeAndre Hopkins last week, Ridley set a season high in expected half PPR points (23.7), a trend that should continue without other skill guys worthy of getting targets to. In fact, he's already the WR36 on WR4 overall usage this past month. Many of those targets were uncatchable, but it's still a sign that he can get hot down the stretch.

    • Tyler Boyd (DNP), Treylon Burks (IR), DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs) are out of the picture.

  19. Brian Thomas (Questionable)

    • He was a limited participant (chest) on Wednesday. Christian Kirk (collarbone, IR) and Gabe Davis (shoulder, limited) are also banged up.

  20. Darnell Mooney - 53.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Falcons are tied for 2nd in projected points against a Cowboys defense that's hurt and playing lifeless.

    • One of the biggest risers on tape this season. His route running is more polished, and he has the in-pocket QB to win on these timing routes. This month, he's the WR9 on WR9 expected points, so this is an arguable disrespectful ranking in the No. 2 neutral pass rate offense.

  21. Ladd McConkey - 50.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's the WR14 on WR24 usage since his Post Bye Rookie Bump. The separation-ability has been there all year, but now he's Mossing dudes??? Sure! McConkey is the second best receiver against press man coverage per yards per route run by the way. He's getting it done in very real ways. It helps that the Chargers are passing more out of the bye as well.

  22. Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    • DK Metcalf and Noah Fant are out.

    • He's been the WR45 on WR15 usage this month, including last week's dud without DK Metcalf. At some point, he's just an average slot receiver in a friendly offense.

  23. Zay Flowers - 50.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Ravens are tied for 2nd in projected points, but the Broncos are 4th-best against fantasy WRs, headlined by CB Pat Surtain and a great coordinator. Flowers won't see that much Surtain in coverage based on his role for what it's worth.

    • He's the WR15 on WR13 usage this month with the Ravens' neutral pass rate climbing to 54% (slightly above league average). Flowers is the screen guy in the offense and has won on deeper play action concepts in a beautifully-designed offense with tons of supporting talent. The trade for Diontae Johnson does slightly impact him, but that's less of a problem in the first week he's in town.

  24. Jayden Reed

    • I've moved him up with Jordan Love playing.

  25. Marvin Harrison - 51.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's at his best on crossing routes and breaking routes, not the start/stop routes and simple go balls.

  26. Xavier Worthy - 40.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Chiefs are tied for 4th in projected points against a suspect Buccaneers secondary.

    • There are man coverage and contested catch losses all over his tape, but he's not a worthless player either. The Chiefs used him in the backfield, in the pick-play game, in the screen game, and design shot plays down the field to him. This month (largely without Rashee Rice), the rookie has been the WR35 on WR11, making him one of the bigger positive regression candidates of the week. The last two weeks have led to 13.5 and 13.3 expected half PPR points, equivalent to WR11 usage.

    • Of note, DeAndre Hopkins' sample of 14 routes last week indicates that the veteran will not be in the Rashee Rice or JuJu Smith-Schuster role. Instead, he'll be the intermediate route runner on digs, comebacks, and out routes. That's good news for Worthy as the manufactured touches are still likely headed his way.

  27. Jakobi Meyers - 50.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He has a 33% first-read target share without Davante Adams, and looking spry in his return from injury last week. His involvement out of the slot is promising for his steady WR3 value. He's one of the only WRs to have at least 10.5 expected half PPR points in 4-straight healthy games.

  28. Courtland Sutton - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Bo Nix is playing better football now, and Sutton remains the only +EV pass catcher in Denver. He had a season-high in usage last week (18.5 expected half PPR points) thanks to a few crossing routes and contested grabs. He even was thrown a screen. If the Broncos are forced into more dropbacks than normal given the scoreboard vs. Baltimore, Sutton has some WR3 appeal.

    • The Ravens have allowed the most receiving yards and receiving TDs to fantasy WRs this season. Similarly-styled WRs Cedric Tillman (25.4 half PPR), Tee Higgins (24.8), Davante Adams (21.5), and Terry McLaurin (20.3) have gone off against them.

  29. DJ Moore - 55.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • In 5 games with a Keenan Allen, Moore is averaging 10.1 half PPR points on 10.0 expected points. Those are WR3 numbers. Part of the problem is the Bears' sudden super run-heavy approach, and Caleb Williams' continued inconsistent play. He's the WR21 on WR31 usage this month.

  30. Tyler Lockett

  31. Khalil Shakir - 51.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Bills are 1st in projected points, but the Dolphins have allowed the fewest fantasy points to WRs this year.

  32. Keon Coleman

    • He's the WR19 on WR29 this month, thanks to some unsustainable yards after the catch numbers, but he's also getting goal line jump fades and the occasional screen now. That's promising.

    • The Bills are 1st in projected points, but they have 5 passing options in the mix paired with a dual threat QB. Don't expect consistency.

    • The Dolphins have allowed the fewest fantasy points to WRs this year, and Coleman should see plenty of Jalen Ramsey in coverage.

  33. DeAndre Hopkins

    • The Chiefs are tied for 4th in projected points.

    • We discussed his role on Stats vs. Film, but in short, he's running intermediate routes as a boundry receiver and is unlikely to get the simple routes that Rashee Rice was getting. In general, that's bad for his fantasy outlook compared to his initial WR2 hype. We'll see if that changes in his second week with the team.

  34. Cedric Tillman - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Chargers CB Kristian Fulton (hamstring) was a DNP.

    • He's had 15.6 and 16.5 expected half PPR points without Amari Cooper and has more than looked the part on tape. He's a big athlete capable of winning down the field and over the middle. Jameis Winston is the aggressive passer to unlock this exact skillset, especially if the Browns continue to be pass heavy. You can read my pre-draft profile on him here:

    • A 23-year-old redshirt senior from Tennessee, Tillman has an atypical statistical profile but has the wide receiver traits that are hardest to find. He broke out as a redshirt junior in 2021, averaging 90 yards per game on 86th percentile yards per team pass attempt. He didn't declare and immediately injured his ankle (requiring surgery) in 2022. The Vols' offense is very spread oriented, but Tillman ran real routes and lined up on the line of scrimmage, sometimes in isolation, as a legit X receiver. His average depth of target was 15.8 yards downfield, where he can win with some deep contested catches near the boundary. His speed is below average, however. He ran a 4.54 forty, but his 6'3"/213 frame and 82nd percentile broad jump are a promising combination for the role he'll be playing in the NFL.

      Tillman is a physical player, capable of battling against press man coverage. He can shield corners on in-breaking routes and high-point deep passes. He's not a major yards after catch threat but can fight for extra yards in tight spaces. He moved around the formation, including in bunch sets where he shows off high levels of dog in the blocking department. He might be the best blocking receiver in the class. He's maxed out given his age, but this physical X-receiver and dirty work loving skillset is hard to find, as the position overall gets smaller. I compare him to Corey Davis, Michael Gallup, Courtland Sutton, and Nico Collins, despite his overall profile being weaker. The tape is there, and he should be a 2-WR starter if his ankle is okay... My model = 64th percentile.

  35. Xavier Legette

    • Saints are missing CBs Marshon Lattimore (DNP), Paulson Adebo (IR), and Rico Payton (DNP).

    • His 12.4 expected half PPR points without Diontae Johnson are a sign that the rookie is about to go on a quality run, even if Bryce Young remains the starter. Legette scored a man coverage red zone TD against Pat Surtain last week, made a high-point catch in traffic on another rep, and could've scored a long TD on a go route if Young hadn't missed him. There are signs of life here.

  36. Jaylen Waddle - 50.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • In 3 games with Tua this year: 8.9, 6.0, and 8.2 expected half PPR points. That's not nearly enough for consistent fantasy value, but he's capable of a crazy game at any moment. That's more difficult against the Bills' 2-high shell defense.

  37. Michael Pittman

    • He doesn't look right on tape and didn't practice on Wednesday (back), but Joe Flacco is an obvious fantasy-football upgrade for the pass catchers. Pittman has 11.2 expected half PPR points in Flacco games versus 7.7 in Richardson games.

    • The Vikings have allowed the most fantasy points to WRs this year.

  38. Romeo Doubs

    • He had 4.1 and 3.2 expected half PPR points in Malik Willis starts, as the game plan shifts towards the ground game and the manufactured touch game. Neither benefit Doubs.

  39. Keenan Allen - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's had under 5.0 half PPR points in 4-of-5 healthy games with one spike week mixed in, but he does at least have 3-straight games with over 9.0 expected half PPR points. The usage is fine.

  40. Jalen Tolbert - 41.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's been servicable in 1-of-3 games without Brandin Cooks (WR25 on WR38 usage), but the Cowboys are 8th in projected points this week and a special teamer is the current WR3 on the team.

  41. Joshua Palmer - 29.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Justin Herbert is playing out of his mind, and Palmer isn't coming off the field right now. He's had WR3/4 value at times before.

  42. Wan'Dale Robinson - 37.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  43. Jerry Jeudy - 49.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Chargers have allowed the fewest receptions to WRs this year (60).

  44. Elijah Moore - 41.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  45. Jordan Addison - 40.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Vikings are 7th in projected points, but Addison isn't getting any real looks. He's the WR71 on WR70 usage this month, primarily only seeing a couple of deep targets per game. The return of T.J. Hockenson doesn't stand to help either.

  46. Rashod Bateman

    • The Ravens are tied for 2nd in projected points.

    • He's been the WR18 on WR50 usage this month, as the Ravens primary downfield target and man-coverage beater. The trade for Diontae Johnson is not great for his long-term value of course. The Ravens use a ton of 1- and 2-WR sets, so Bateman must hold him off to stay alive for WR4 consideration.

  47. Andrei Iosivas

    • He ran 38 routes on 40 dropbacks last week. He's done little with the role, but the Bengals are tied for 4th in projected points this week and he's been red-zone involved. This assumes Tee Higgins (quad) is out again. Iosivas has averaged 7.1 expected half PPR points in his 3 games without him.

  48. Jalen Coker

    • The film is pretty, pretty interesting. He's big and athletic enough, with better route running than most youngsters I watcfh. The Panthers have him in the slot, but Coker isn't a traditional slot. He has some downfield reps and beats defenders to the edge after the catch. His 9.6 expected half PPR points in Week 8 without Diontae Johnson were a career high. I'd be shocked if Adam Thielen plays over Coker whenever he's healthy.

  49. Michael Wilson - 31.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  50. Rome Odunze - 34.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • He's had 4.3 half PPR points on 6.6 expected points in the 5 games with a healthy Keenan Allen.

  51. Christian Watson

    • He had 0.0 and 3.3 expected half PPR points in Malik Willis starts earlier this year. Watson is a part-time player right now, and the game plan becomes less downfield reliant without Jordan Love. That disproportionately hurts Watson.

  52. Dontayvion Wicks

    • He had 6.1 and 3.1 expected half PPR points in Malik Willis starts earlier this year. Wicks is a part-time player right now, and the game plan becomes less downfield reliant without Jordan Love.

  53. Demarcus Robinson

  54. Noah Brown

  55. John Metchie

  56. Diontae Johnson

    • The Ravens are tied for 2nd in projected points.

    • The trade is bad for his fantasy outlook, as the Ravens are just 20th in WR usage this month on a league-average neutral pass rate. He'll provide the Ravens with man-coverage-beating ability in a low volume role, one that may grow over time. For now, Zay Flowers will get the easy stuff, Mark Andrews will get the red zone stuff, and the others will get the leftovers after Derrick Henry is done eating.

  57. Trey Palmer

    • He ran a route on 77% of the Bucs Week 8 dropbacks as the primary (arguably only) deep threat in the offense. His volume is likely to be low, but Palmer has big-play ability.

  58. Alec Pierce

  59. Tim Patrick

  60. Kalif Raymond

    • He ran a route on 10-of-21 dropbacks in the first three quarters last week, adding special teams value along the way. Tim Patrick was ahead of him (15-of-21 routes).

  61. DeMario Douglas

  62. Darius Slayton - 36.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  63. Tyler Boyd (Questionable)

    • He missed the entire week of practice.

  64. Jalen McMillan (Questionable) - 41.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • In pass-heavy games, the rookie has done next to nothing on 12.3 and 10.0 expected half PPR points as an every-down player. McMillan isn't a gifted athlete and will need the volume to make up for it. For now, the Bucs have made the RBs and TEs the priority in the manufactured touch game.

    • The Chiefs have allowed the fewest receiving yards to WRs this year.

Week 9 QB Rankings

  1. Jalen Hurts - Eagles (26.5, -7.5) vs. JAX

    • Jaguars are 2nd-worst against fantasy QBs and don't have the secondary talent to play man coverage against these WRs.

    • This offense is on fire since their Week 5 bye. Is the "New OC Post-Bye Bump" real?

  2. Josh Allen - Bills (27.5, -6.0) vs. MIA

    • He didn't have to do anything in Week 2 against Miami because their defense forced a ton of turnovers and the ground game was working, but in his 4 previous games versus the Dolphins, Allen has a 300+ yard streak while averaging 2.75 scores.

    • Allen's skill group looks rounded out with Amari Cooper in and Keon Coleman stepping up.

  3. Lamar Jackson - Ravens (27.75, -9.0) vs. DEN

    • He's missed two practices with various injuries including a back, likely more rest than anything, but it's worth monitoring.

  4. Jayden Daniels - Commanders (23.5, -3.5) at NYG

    • The QB4 on the season should be near full health after playing well with poor ribs last week.

    • The Giants are without EDGE Kayvon Thibodeaux and benced CB Deonte Banks last week. There are issues.

  5. Joe Burrow - Bengals (26.75, 7.0) vs. LV

    • This is the most pass-heavy offense, by far, this past month.

  6. Patrick Mahomes - Chiefs (27.0, -8.5) vs. TB

    • The DeAndre Hopkins addition provides an outlet in the 10-20 yard range, which hasn't existed in years. That should get Mahomes to the fantasy QB1 range again.

    • The Bucs are the worst fantasy QB defense, allowing 302 total yards and 2.4 touchdowns per game.

  7. Sam Darnold - Vikings (26.0, -5.5) vs. IND

    • He's maxed out at 31 pass attempts this season for reasons out of his control. That should regress, giving him more weekly upside in good matchups like this one.

  8. Kyler Murray - Cardinals (22.75, -1.0) vs. CHI

    • The Bears have allowed five (5) passing touchdowns this year.

  9. Dak Prescott - Cowboys (24.75, +3.0) at ATL

    • Dallas is 31st in red zone TD rate, so there are positive regression notes in his profile.

  10. Kirk Cousins - Falcons (27.75, -3.0) vs. DAL

  11. Matthew Stafford - Rams (25.0, -1.5) at SEA

    • This assumes Puka Nacua plays.

  12. Geno Smith - Seahawks (23.5, +1.5) vs. LAR

  13. Jared Goff - Lions (25.5, -3.5) at GB

  14. Jordan Love - Packers (22.75, +2.5) vs. DET

    • This game is probably so important that it's worth the reaggrevation risk with his groin injury, but Love adds fantasy value when extending plays and that could be limited here. The good news is the Lions are a massive pass funnel.

  15. Caleb Williams - Bears (21.75, +1.0) at ARI

  16. Drake Maye - Patriots (17.25, +3.5) at TEN

    • He's been limited (concussion) so far.

    • It'd be nice if DT T'Vondre Sweat (DNPs) misses.

  17. Bo Nix - Broncos (18.75, +9.0) at BAL

    • He's been the QB2, QB18, QB9, and QB8 in his most recent games. His best tape was last week in my opinion.

  18. Derek Carr - Saints (25.5, -7.5) at CAR

  19. Tua Tagovailoa - Dolphins (21.5, +6.0) at BUF

  20. Daniel Jones - Giants (20.0, +3.5) vs. WAS

  21. Aaron Rodgers - Jets (22.25, -2.0) vs. HOU

  22. Justin Herbert - Chargers (22.0, -1.5) at CLE

    • Browns CB Denzel Ward (concussion) hasn't practiced.

  23. Jameis Winston - Browns (20.5, +1.5) vs. LAC

  24. C.J. Stroud - Texans (20.25, +2.0) at NYJ

    • We need Nico Collins back desperately because OC Bobby Slowic isn't giving the team answers.

  25. Baker Mayfield - Buccaneers (18.5, +8.5) at KC

    • He's the QB2 on the year and has played sound football in a sound scheme. This is, by far, his biggest challenge yet without his top play makers on the road against one of the best defenses.

  26. Joe Flacco - Colts (20.5, +5.5) at MIN

  27. Gardner Minshew - Raiders (19.75, +7.0) at CIN

  28. Trevor Lawrence - Jaguars (19.0, +7.5) at PHI

    • Brian Thomas, Gabe Davis, and Travis Etienne are game-time decisions. Christian Kirk is out for the year. This is not going well.

  29. Mason Rudolph - Titans (20.75, -3.5) vs. NE

  30. Bryce Young - Panthers (18.0, +7.5) vs. NO

Week 9 TE Rankings

  1. Travis Kelce - 60.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  2. Brock Bowers - 66.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  3. Trey McBride - 52.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  4. David Njoku - 51.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  5. Evan Engram - 52.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  6. Cade Otton - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  7. Jake Ferguson - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  8. Kyle Pitts - 46.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  9. Sam LaPorta - 40.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  10. Dalton Kincaid - 41.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  11. Taysom Hill

    • The Saints are missing their RB2 and RB3. Hill will take some of that usage.

  12. Mark Andrews - 33.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  13. Hunter Henry - 38.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  14. Dalton Schultz - 40.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  15. Mike Gesicki

  16. Tucker Kraft

  17. T.J. Hockenson - 38.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  18. Zach Ertz - 34.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  19. Cole Kmet - 30.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  20. Will Dissly (Questionable)

  21. Jonnu Smith - 29.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  22. Isaiah Likely

  23. Tyler Conklin - 23.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  24. Juwan Johnson

  25. AJ Barner

    • He fills in for Noah Fant (out).

Week 9 Defenses For Sickos

My analysis on this is here. Peep the timestamps: